AI Research Papers

AI Agents & Reasoning7/8/2026

The Harness Effect: How Orchestration Design Sets the Token Economics of Enterprise Agentic AI

Agentic AI development today runs on token maxing: buying capability with tokens -- longer reasoning traces, more turns, wider tool payloads, bigger replayed contexts -- so tokens per task grow faster than task value. Falling per-token prices mask the pattern; total spend rises anyway. We argue the decisive lever against token maxing is the harness: the orchestration layer that assembles context, exposes tools, sequences turns, delegates work, and carries enterprise observability and governance. We isolate it with a controlled swap: 22 locked evaluation tasks, six foundation models (Claude Sonnet 4.6, Gemini 3.1, Gemini Flash 3.5, Qwen 3.6, GLM 5.1, Palmyra X6), changing only the orchestration layer -- a frozen conventional production loop versus the Writer Agent Harness. Holding models constant, the harness cuts blended cost per task 41% ($0.21->$0.12), median wall-clock 44% (48s->27s), and tokens per task 38% (14.2k->8.8k), with task-completion quality at parity (0.78->0.81, directional at this sample size). Efficiency is model-invariant -- every model gets cheaper (33-61%) -- while quality gains are capability-dependent: a model's gain correlates almost perfectly with its baseline strength (r=0.99, n=6), a phenomenon we term harness leverage. Quality per dollar rises 82%; task-completions per million tokens rise from 54.9 to 92.0. On this workload the orchestration layer moved cost per task more than the full spread of the model menu did. We formalize token economics at the orchestration layer (including effective input price under prompt caching), detail the six mechanism families behind the effect -- cache-shape discipline to failure-spend governance -- compare six widely used agent systems on the same axes, and argue the harness is the one component whose efficiency multiplies across every model an organization runs -- present and future.

AI Agents & Reasoning7/8/2026

Computing with Stochastic Oracles in AI-Augmented Computation

The Stochastic-Oracle Turing Machine (SOTM) framework models AI-augmented computation as the interaction of a probabilistic Turing machine with an oracle whose responses are drawn from context-dependent distributions. This paper studies what an SOTM can achieve under two oracle-response schemes: in a cached-response oracle, each distinct query receives one response that is reused on later calls to the same query, while in a fresh-response oracle, each call returns an independent response. In both schemes, the SOTM first computes from its input and internal random source to generate its first query, then proceeds adaptively, computing from its query-response transcript (the record of queries issued and responses received) to generate each subsequent query or produce a final output. Cached responses impose two transcript-based ceilings on achievable performance: a correct-identification ceiling governed by the total variation distance between the transcript distributions induced by the hidden states of the oracle, and an output quality ceiling equal to the expected score of the best output the SOTM can compute from the transcript. Fresh responses can raise these ceilings by allowing repeated calls to accumulate independent evidence toward correct or high-quality outputs. In the binary single-informative-query case, the error probability decreases exponentially in the number of calls to the same query at the Chernoff rate. For output quality, query-count bounds characterize threshold stopping when the score function is incorporated as part of the SOTM, and majority-based amplification bounds characterize the binary candidate-output model when it is not. Together, the results identify how response reuse, transcript information, and access to the score function determine what an SOTM can compute and at what token cost.

Computer Vision & Image Generation7/8/2026

ReMoDEx: A Local-to-Global Relevance-Based Model Decision Explainability Framework for large-Scale Image Datasets

Deep learning image classifiers achieve strong predictive performance yet remain opaque in how decisions are formed. A model may predict correctly while relying on irrelevant cues, shortcut associations, peripheral structures, or device level artifacts instead of task relevant regions. On large scale datasets this opacity is especially problematic, since inspecting heatmaps one sample at a time cannot scale to thousands of predictions. We propose Relevance Based Model Decision Explainability (ReMoDEx), a framework for systematic, dataset scale assessment of model decision behaviour in image classification. ReMoDEx defines a stepwise pipeline: model inference, target class selection, relevance map generation, heatmap standardisation, similarity based grouping of patterns, cluster level interpretation, and spatial relevance assessment. Local methods GradCAM++, Integrated Gradients, Occlusion Sensitivity, and Layerwise Relevance Propagation are each combined independently with a single global module that summarises an entire set of relevance maps into a few decision strategy clusters, replacing sample by sample inspection with an automatic, scalable summary. To demonstrate ReMoDEx, we applied it to a VGG16 based classifier distinguishing COVID-19, Normal, Lung Opacity, and Viral Pneumonia. The classifier showed stable performance (86.27% test accuracy, 0.9624 test AUC). However, each explainer combined with the global module consistently produced two recurring strategies: central thoracic region decisions and border/corner sensitive decisions, indicating possible shortcut learning that conventional metrics could not reveal. Masked image validation confirmed that model confidence and predicted class changed when central or peripheral regions were occluded. ReMoDEx thus provides a scalable relevance based decision assessment framework and an essential complement to accuracy based evaluation.

Computer Vision & Image Generation7/8/2026

Multi-Conditioned Diffusion Synthesis of Sand Boils for Low-Resource Earthen-Levee Inspection

Sand boils on earthen levees are safety-critical defects, but pixel-level detection is limited by scarce annotations. We present a diffusion-based synthesis pipeline for low-resource sand-boil imagery. Using Stable Diffusion XL fine-tuned with DreamBooth and conditioned by a multi-branch ControlNet stack, the pipeline generates synthetic inspection images from a small curated reference set. A soft-mask inpainting protocol preserves the real defect pixels while re-rendering the surrounding scene, avoiding seams and color shifts from prior seamless-cloning compositing. A mask-conditioned ControlNet can also generate a new boil inside a chosen mask, making the mask the segmentation label by construction; however, because large-scale label certification remains unresolved with the available real-trained gate, we release the soft-mask preset as the default. Text conditioning is supplied by a taxonomy-driven Prompt Atlas that expands one domain specification into a stratified, CLIP-validated prompt bank and transfers to new defect classes without code changes. From the real training images, the pipeline produces 1,020 synthetic candidates, of which 815 pass a CLIP admissibility filter. We evaluate image quality using distributional and fidelity-diversity measures against the real reference set and a Poisson baseline, and audit for out-of-distribution drift and memorization. No single preset dominates; each trades off fidelity, diversity, and label reliability. We therefore release the label-reliable preset as the default and treat a curated mixture as the natural augmentation set. Our claims are limited to image quality, label provenance, and diversity; downstream segmentation is left for future work. Code and an artifact manifest are released for reproducibility.

Large Language Models (LLMs)7/8/2026

GemNav: Discrete-Token Visual Robot Navigation using a Multimodal Large Language Model

Visual navigation policies built on large pretrained models have so far followed a common recipe: a dedicated visual encoder, a bespoke action head, and training on thousands of hours of cross-embodiment datasets. We ask whether this recipe is necessary. In this paper, we introduce GemNav, a visual robot navigation policy that adapts a frozen Multimodal Large Language Model (MLLM) for short-to-medium horizon waypoint navigation using Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) on the language tower alone, with no auxiliary visual encoder and no continuous regression head. Waypoints and categorical navigation signals share a single discrete token vocabulary generated by the language-model head, and a soft-decoded auxiliary loss recovers the metric structure that pure cross-entropy training discards. On a single 8.7-hour open corpus, roughly three orders of magnitude smaller than competing training sets, the policy transfers zero-shot to four physically distinct unseen environments and stops within 0.25-0.42m of the goal across 20 real-world trials covering an open carpark, an obstacle carpark, a long outdoor chemical yard, and an indoor warehouse. Conditioning on short image histories improves offline metrics but yields no robot benefit, pointing to a ceiling on what temporal context adds once pretrained vision features are in place. These results indicate that discrete-token adaptation of frozen MLLMs can provide a data-efficient, deployable alternative for foundation model robot navigation.

Other7/8/2026

Video2Reaction: Mapping Video to Audience Reaction Distribution in the Wild

Understanding and forecasting audience reactions to video content are crucial for improving content creation, recommendation systems, and media analysis. To enable audience reaction prediction and other content engagement applications, we introduce $\textbf{Video2Reaction}$, a multimodal dataset that maps short movie segments to a distribution of $\textit{induced emotions}$ of viewers in the wild, as expressed through social media. $\textbf{Video2Reaction}$ spans more than 10,000 videos and serves as a reliable benchmark as well as a training resource for audience reaction prediction. To enable cost-effective continuous annotations as reactions may change over time, we develop a two-stage multi-agent pipeline using only open-source LLMs, achieving 86% correctness under blind human verification despite the inherently noisy and subjective nature of the task. We establish the first benchmark for video-to-reaction-distribution prediction in the wild and show that pretrained foundation video models fail in zero-shot settings, while finetuning transforms them into state-of-the-art predictors capable of modeling both full reaction distributions and dominant responses from video alone. However, the task remains challenging: even the strongest methods achieve only 77% Top-3 F1 in dominant reaction prediction (LLaVA-Next), highlighting a substantial gap in modeling collective audience reaction. \modification{Dataset and code are available at our project page: https://information-fusion-lab-umass.github.io/video2reaction-bench.github.io

Computer Vision & Image Generation7/8/2026

Ensemble Deep Learning Approaches for AI-Altered Video Detection

The increasing accessibility of artificial intelligence has led to a rapid rise in AI-generated videos, making it more difficult to distinguish between real and manipulated content. Many existing detection methods rely on a single model and often struggle to generalize across different types of deepfakes. In this work, we developed a multimodal deepfake detection system that combines both audio and visual analysis using an ensemble of models. The system includes AASIST for audio-based detection, and EfficientNet, XceptionNet, and MesoNet for analyzing visual features in video frames. The pipeline takes a video as input, separates the audio, and extracts face frames using MTCNN. Each model produces a score indicating the likelihood of the input being fake. These scores are then combined using ensemble strategies, including mean averaging and stacking. Mean fusion provides a simple and stable baseline, while stacking uses a trained meta-model to learn how to combine predictions more effectively. Results show that while individual models perform well on the datasets they were trained on, their performance drops when tested on more diverse datasets. The ensemble approach helps improve overall robustness by combining predictions from multiple models, leading to more consistent performance across different types of deepfakes. This suggests that using both audio and visual information together is a more reliable approach for deepfake detection. Our results highlight generalization to unseen manipulations as the central open challenge, with average accuracy around 70%.

AI Agents & Reasoning7/7/2026

Geometric Self-Distillation for Reasoning Generalization

On-policy distillation is a practical post-training recipe for large language models, supplying dense teacher supervision on the student's own trajectories. In privileged-context self-distillation, teacher and student are the same model conditioned on the same prefix, but the teacher also sees a hint or the full solution trace. This makes supervision abundant but harder to trust: the teacher can be confident about continuations its privileged view makes obvious but the student cannot yet justify. The distillation pull is strongest where teacher and student disagree most, and over many updates it accumulates into drift that degrades out-of-distribution (OOD) reasoning. We introduce GeoSD, a geometric self-distillation objective that treats this drift as movement in the student's predictive behavior and counters it in two complementary ways. A Hellinger loss scales each teacher preference by the overlap the student already shares with it, attenuating the pull on tokens the student cannot yet support. Since these pulls still compound over training, a proximal term penalizes how far the student's predictions drift from a recent checkpoint, measured as a Fisher-Rao distance. Both are distances in the same geometry of next-token distributions, and a natural-gradient update takes its steps in that geometry rather than in parameter space. Across mathematical reasoning benchmarks and three model families, GeoSD preserves the in-distribution gains of self-distillation while improving average OOD accuracy by 5.7-8.6 points over the base model, with gains holding across model scales from 1.7B to 32B. Analyzing why standard matching fails out of distribution, we find it wins agreement with the teacher by draining mass from alternatives at high-entropy states, resulting in confident agreement on wrong answers, whereas GeoSD keeps those alternatives in reach.